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Economic Causes and Impacts of Wars

Learn how wars are caused and financed, how rationing and wartime production reshaped the home front and the workforce, and how postwar economies recovered.

Practice this skill 30 min Economic causes and impacts of wars Leer en español
Key idea

What you'll learn

In plain words: Wars cost huge sums and change jobs and prices. Money troubles can also help start wars.

Wars are not only military events. They are economic events too.

Wars have economic causes. Two examples are competition for land, resources and markets, and an economic crisis that fuels extremism (support for extreme political ideas).

Wars also have huge economic impacts:

  • how governments pay for them;
  • how factories and workers are reorganized;
  • how shortages are managed;
  • how economies recover afterward.

In this lesson you will learn:

  • the economic causes behind major wars;
  • how the United States financed (paid for) the Civil War, World War I and World War II: taxes, borrowing, printing money;
  • how the home front was managed with wartime production, price controls and rationing;
  • how war changed the labor force, especially for women and Black Americans;
  • how postwar economies differed after World War I and World War II.

How it appears on the GED: Expect graphs of unemployment, debt or prices. Expect short readings about rationing or war bonds, and tables comparing eras. Questions ask you to:

  • identify a cause;
  • find a percent change;
  • put events in order; or
  • decide which evidence supports a claim.

You rarely need memorized numbers, because the data are given. But background knowledge helps you read fast and avoid traps.

Words to know

  • war bond — a loan from a citizen to the government, repaid later with interest (a $25 bond bought for $18.75).
  • national debt — the total amount the federal government owes from past borrowing.
  • deficit spending — spending more than the government collects in taxes in a year, and borrowing the difference.
  • income tax withholding — taking income tax out of each paycheck (began nationally in 1943).
  • inflation — a general rise in prices; each dollar buys less.
  • hyperinflation — extremely rapid inflation (Germany, 1923).
  • price ceiling (price control) — a legal maximum price.
  • rationing — limiting how much of a scarce good each person may buy (ration stamps for sugar).
  • conversion — switching factories from civilian goods to military goods (car plants building tanks).
  • labor shortage — more jobs than available workers.
  • reparations — payments a defeated nation must make for war damage.
  • demobilization — sending troops home and returning the economy to peacetime production.
  • embargo — a government ban on trade with another country (U.S. oil embargo on Japan, 1941).
  • blockade — using ships to stop goods from entering or leaving an enemy's ports.

All Social Studies words in the glossary

1. Economic causes of war

In plain words: Fights over resources and trade, and hard economic times, often help push countries into war.

Economic pressures often help start wars. Political causes and beliefs matter too.

  • Competition for resources and markets. Before World War I, European empires competed for colonies, raw materials and trade. In the 1930s, Japan was short on oil, rubber and iron. So it expanded into China and Southeast Asia. In 1941 the United States cut off oil exports to Japan. Japanese leaders then decided to strike at Pearl Harbor and seize lands rich in oil.
  • Economic crisis and extremism. Germany suffered three blows. First came the harsh terms of the Treaty of Versailles. Next came German hyperinflation (1923). Then came the Great Depression. Together they created despair that helped Hitler gain power.
  • Trade and neutral rights. Attacks on shipping drew the United States into the War of 1812. It happened again in World War I. German submarines attacked ships carrying Americans and trade goods.
  • Slavery and economic systems. The Civil War grew out of the conflict over slavery. Slavery was tied to the South's plantation economy and to its spread into western territories.

Example: A GED question might show this timeline:

  • 1937: Japan invades China.
  • 1940: The U.S. restricts exports.
  • 1941: The U.S. places an oil embargo on Japan.
  • December 1941: Pearl Harbor.
Sequence of events leading to Pearl Harbor: 1937, Japan invades China; 1940, the U.S. restricts exports; 1941, the U.S. places an oil embargo on Japan; December 1941, Japan attacks Pearl Harbor and seizes oil-rich lands. The thread is access to resources such as oil. Resources and the road to Pearl Harbor 1937 Japan invades China 1940 U.S. restricts exports 1941 U.S. oil embargo on Japan Dec. 1941 Pearl Harbor attack Common thread: Japan's need for oil and raw materials

It might ask which factor most influenced Japan's decision. The answer would focus on access to resources such as oil.

2. Paying for war: taxes, borrowing and printing money

In plain words: A government can pay for a war in three ways. It can tax people, borrow from them, or print new money.

Each way has trade-offs:

MethodHow it worksMain risk
TaxesRaise income, business and sales taxesUnpopular; may slow the economy
Borrowing (bonds)Sell bonds to citizens and banksDebt and interest to repay later
Printing moneyCreate new currency to pay billsInflation, even hyperinflation
Diagram of three ways a government pays for a war. Taxes: raise income, business and sales taxes; risk: unpopular and may slow the economy. Borrowing: sell bonds to citizens and banks; risk: debt and interest to repay later. Printing money: create new currency; risk: inflation, even hyperinflation. Three ways to pay for a war Taxes Raise income, business and sales taxes Main risk: Unpopular; may slow the economy Borrowing Sell bonds to citizens and banks Main risk: Debt and interest to repay later Printing money Create new currency to pay bills Main risk: Inflation, even hyperinflation

Civil War (1861–1865):

  • The Union created the first federal income tax (1861). It also sold bonds and printed paper money called "greenbacks."
  • The Confederacy had little industry, and its cotton exports were blockaded. So it printed money heavily. Its prices rose roughly 9,000%. Union prices rose about 80%.

World War I (U.S. 1917–1918): The 16th Amendment (1913) had made a permanent income tax possible. During the war, tax rates rose sharply. The government also raised billions through Liberty Bond drives.

World War II (U.S. 1941–1945): This was the costliest war in U.S. history.

  • Taxes paid a little less than half the cost.
  • The Revenue Act of 1942 turned the income tax into a "mass tax" paid by most workers. Withholding began in 1943.
  • The rest was borrowed through war bonds.
  • The federal debt grew from about $51 billion (1940) to about $271 billion (1946). At its peak, the debt was larger than the economy's entire yearly output.
Bar graph of U.S. federal debt: about 51 billion dollars in 1940 and about 271 billion dollars in 1946, more than five times as large, mostly from borrowing through war bonds. U.S. federal debt before and after World War II $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 Billions of dollars about $51 billion 1940 about $271 billion 1946

Example: Debt rises from $58 billion to $260 billion. The percent increase is (260 − 58) ÷ 58 × 100 ≈ 348%.

3. The home front: production, controls and rationing

In plain words: At home, factories made weapons instead of cars. The government limited prices and how much people could buy.

Wartime production.

  • In World War I, the War Industries Board coordinated factories.
  • In World War II, the War Production Board ordered conversion — switching factories to war goods. In 1942, automakers stopped making cars for the public. Instead they built tanks, jeeps and aircraft engines.

U.S. factories produced huge numbers of planes, ships and tanks. The country became the "arsenal of democracy" — a storehouse of weapons for its side. Unemployment was still about 15% in 1940. By 1944 it fell to about 1%.

Bar graph of U.S. unemployment: about 15 percent in 1940 and about 1 percent in 1944, as war production put almost everyone to work. Unemployment fell as war production rose 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Unemployment rate about 15% 1940 about 1% 1944

Fighting inflation. Almost everyone had a job, but there were few consumer goods to buy. That meant "too much money chasing too few goods." This pushes prices up. The Office of Price Administration (OPA) answered with:

  • price ceilings (legal top prices) on goods and rents;
  • rationing — ration books and stamps for tires, gasoline, sugar, coffee, meat, butter, canned goods and shoes;
  • urging people to buy war bonds instead of goods. This soaked up spending.

Citizens also planted victory gardens (home vegetable gardens). They ran scrap drives for metal and rubber.

Example: Rationing and price ceilings work together. A ceiling alone would create shortages, because people want more at the low price. Rationing decides who gets the limited supply. One side effect was black markets — illegal sales above ceiling prices.

Illustrative supply and demand graph of a wartime price ceiling. The legal top price is set below the equilibrium price, so quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied: a shortage. Ration stamps decide who gets the limited supply, and black markets sell above the ceiling. Price ceiling + rationing on the home front Quantity of sugar Price D S ceiling shortage E Low legal price buyers want more Shortage not enough for all Ration stamps share the supply; black markets appear Illustrative graph (no real data)

4. War and the workforce

In plain words: When men left for war, factories needed new workers. Women and minority workers stepped in.

Wars pull millions of workers into the military. At the same time, factories need more labor.

  • Women. In World War II, the number of women in the workforce rose from roughly 12 million to about 18 million. "Rosie the Riveter" was the symbol of women in shipyards and aircraft plants. They did jobs once closed to them. About 350,000 women served in uniform. After the war, many were laid off as veterans returned. But women's paid work never fell back to pre-war levels.
  • Black Americans. In both world wars, war jobs sped up the Great Migration. This was the move from the rural South to cities in the North and West. In 1941, labor leader A. Philip Randolph threatened a march on Washington. Under this pressure, President Franklin Roosevelt issued Executive Order 8802. It banned racial discrimination in defense industries.
  • Mexican Americans and the Bracero Program (1942). Mexican workers were recruited to fill shortages of farm and railroad workers.
  • Unions grew during the war. Most agreed not to strike. In exchange, they got government support.

Example: A table shows women workers rising from 12 to 18 million. Percent increase = 6 ÷ 12 = 50%.

Bar graph of women in the U.S. workforce during World War II: roughly 12 million before the war and about 18 million by 1945, an increase of 6 million. 6 divided by 12 is a 50 percent increase. Women in the U.S. workforce, World War II 0 5 10 15 20 Millions of women about 12 million Before the war (about 1940) about 18 million About 1945 6 ÷ 12 = 0.5 → a 50% increase +6 million

5. After the fighting: postwar economies

In plain words: After World War I, Europe struggled. After World War II, U.S. aid helped Europe rebuild, and the U.S. enjoyed a long boom.

After World War IAfter World War II
EuropeReparations on Germany; hyperinflation (1923); Depression fuels extremismMarshall Plan (1948–1952): about $13 billion in U.S. aid; rapid recovery
U.S. economyShort, sharp recession (1920–1921), then the 1920s boomInflation when OPA controls end (1946–1947), then a long boom
VeteransBonus promised for 1945; Bonus Army protest (1932)GI Bill (1944): college, job training, home loans
Global roleU.S. returns to relative isolationU.S. leads new institutions: World Bank and International Monetary Fund (1944)

After World War II, people had savings built up during the war. Veterans had the GI Bill. Together these fueled suburban home building, car buying and the baby boom (a big rise in births). Military spending stayed high during the Cold War.

Later, the government paid for the Vietnam War and new social programs at the same time. This was called "guns and butter." It added to inflation in the late 1960s.

Example: A question may ask why the U.S. funded the Marshall Plan. Look for answers about rebuilding trading partners and stopping the spread of communism. Do not pick answers about collecting reparations.

Formula

Calculations you may need

  • Percent change: (new − old) ÷ old × 100. Debt $58 B → $260 B: 202 ÷ 58 ≈ 348%.
  • Percentage-point change: new percent − old percent. Unemployment 14.6% → 1.9%: a 12.7-point drop.
  • Share of cost: part ÷ total × 100. If taxes paid $45 of every $100, taxes covered 45%.
  • Price index change: an index rising from 100 to 180 means prices rose 80%.
Worked example

Example 1: Reading a wartime price table

Stimulus:YearConsumer price index (1941 = 100)
1941100
1943118
1945122
1947152

(Simplified, illustrative index.)

Line graph of a simplified, illustrative consumer price index with 1941 equal to 100: 118 in 1943, 122 in 1945, and 152 in 1947. The changes are plus 18, plus 4, and plus 30. The steepest rise, 1945 to 1947, came after price controls ended. Wartime price index (1941 = 100) 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 1941 1943 1945 1947 Year Price index War: OPA controls, rationing 100 118 122 152 +18 +4 +30 Simplified, illustrative index (from the example)

Question: During which two-year period did prices rise fastest, and what best explains it?

Think aloud:

  1. Changes: 1941–43 +18; 1943–45 +4; 1945–47 +30.
  2. Fastest: 1945–1947.
  3. Background: OPA price controls ended in 1946 and demand for goods was huge, so prices jumped.
  4. Eliminate: "wartime rationing" would hold down prices; the slow rise of 1943–45 is what controls looked like.
Worked example

Example 2: Purpose of a policy

Stimulus: "Each family received a ration book. A shopper needed both money and stamps to buy sugar, coffee or meat."

Question: Why did the government require stamps as well as money?

A. To raise tax revenue B. So that goods were shared fairly rather than going only to those who could pay the most C. To encourage people to buy more food D. To raise prices for farmers

Think aloud: Stamps limit how much any one family can buy, no matter how rich. That spreads a scarce supply across everyone → B. A confuses rationing with taxes; C and D reverse the effect (rationing limits buying and was paired with price ceilings).

Worked example

Example 3: Cause and effect from two sources

Source 1: "From 1940 to 1945, about 6 million more women joined the workforce." Source 2: "More than 16 million Americans served in the armed forces during World War II."

Question: Which relationship do the sources together support?

Think aloud:

  1. Source 2 → millions of (mostly male) workers left civilian jobs.
  2. Factories were expanding for war production, so employers needed replacements.
  3. Source 1 → women filled many of those jobs.
  4. Answer: military service created a labor shortage that drew women into paid work. Eliminate any choice that reverses it ("women joining the workforce caused men to enlist").
Cause-and-effect chain: more than 16 million Americans served in the armed forces; this created a labor shortage just as war factories expanded; employers needed replacement workers; about 6 million more women joined the workforce from 1940 to 1945. Military service → labor shortage → women at work 16+ million serve in the military Labor shortage as war factories expand Employers need replacement workers 6 million more women join the workforce
Worked example

Example 4: Comparing financing choices

Stimulus:UnionConfederacy
Main sources of war moneyBonds and taxes; some paper moneyMostly printed paper money
Price rise by 1865about 80%about 9,000%
Horizontal bar graph of how much prices rose by 1865. Union, paid mostly with bonds and taxes: about 80 percent. Confederacy, paid mostly with printed money: about 9,000 percent. The Confederate bar is over 100 times longer. Civil War: how much did prices rise by 1865? 0% 3,000% 6,000% 9,000% Union bonds and taxes about 80% Confederacy printed money about 9,000% Price increase

Question: What does the table suggest?

Think aloud: The side that printed the most money had by far the most inflation. The best answer links the way of paying to inflation: relying on printed money leads to much higher inflation than relying on taxes and borrowing. Avoid "Printing any money always causes hyperinflation." The Union printed some money and saw moderate inflation. The word always overstates the evidence.

Common mistake

Common mistakes

  • Confusing rationing with price controls. Price ceilings cap the price; rationing caps the quantity each person can buy. The OPA used both.
  • Thinking war bonds were taxes. Bonds were loans the government repaid with interest. Taxes are never repaid.
  • Reversing cause and effect. Wrong: "Women entered factories, so men joined the army." Right: men left for the military, creating a labor shortage that women helped fill.
  • Percent change vs. percentage points. Unemployment falling from 14.6% to 1.9% is a 12.7-point drop, but an 87% decrease.
  • Dividing by the wrong base. Percent increase divides by the starting value.
  • Treating the GI Bill or Marshall Plan as wartime policies. The GI Bill was passed in 1944 but helped veterans after the war; the Marshall Plan began in 1948.
Test strategy

GED test strategy

  • Check the axes and units first. Is the debt in billions? Is the y-axis a percent or a number of people?
  • Mark the key dates of each war on your erasable note board (Civil War 1861–65; U.S. in WWI 1917–18; U.S. in WWII 1941–45). Many questions hinge on whether a change happened before, during or after a war.
  • For "best explains" questions, pick the cause the passage actually gives, and make sure it fits the timing of the change on the graph.
  • Beware absolute words (only, always, entirely). The Union also printed money; taxes paid part of WWII.
  • For evidence questions, the right evidence covers both halves of a claim.
  • Use the calculator for percent change, but estimate first so you catch a wrong base.

Check yourself

Economic causes and impacts of warsHot spot
Jobs and the Coming of War

(1) During the Great Depression of the 1930s, millions of Americans could not find work. In 1939, World War II began in Europe. The United States started selling and lending weapons and supplies to Britain and its allies, and in 1940 Congress passed the first peacetime military draft in U.S. history. After Japan attacked Pearl Harbor in December 1941, the United States entered the war.

(2) Factories that had been idle switched to making tanks, planes, ships and uniforms, and more than 16 million Americans eventually served in the armed forces. The graph shows what happened to unemployment.

Line graph of the U.S. unemployment rate (percent of the labor force): 1939, 17.2; 1940, 14.6; 1941, 9.9; 1942, 4.7; 1943, 1.9; 1944, 1.2; 1945, 1.9. The rate falls every year from 1939 to 1944, reaching its lowest point in 1944, then rises slightly in 1945. U.S. unemployment rate, 1939–1945 0 5 10 15 20 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 Year Percent of labor force 17.2 14.6 9.9 4.7 1.9 1.2 1.9

Click the point on the graph that shows the year with the lowest unemployment rate.

Click on the figure to mark your answer (or focus it and use the arrow keys).

Line graph of the U.S. unemployment rate (percent of the labor force): 1939, 17.2; 1940, 14.6; 1941, 9.9; 1942, 4.7; 1943, 1.9; 1944, 1.2; 1945, 1.9. The rate falls every year from 1939 to 1944, reaching its lowest point in 1944, then rises slightly in 1945. U.S. unemployment rate, 1939–1945 0 5 10 15 20 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 Year Percent of labor force 17.2 14.6 9.9 4.7 1.9 1.2 1.9
Hint

The lowest rate is the point closest to the bottom of the graph.

Check yourself

Economic causes and impacts of wars
Jobs and the Coming of War

(1) During the Great Depression of the 1930s, millions of Americans could not find work. In 1939, World War II began in Europe. The United States started selling and lending weapons and supplies to Britain and its allies, and in 1940 Congress passed the first peacetime military draft in U.S. history. After Japan attacked Pearl Harbor in December 1941, the United States entered the war.

(2) Factories that had been idle switched to making tanks, planes, ships and uniforms, and more than 16 million Americans eventually served in the armed forces. The graph shows what happened to unemployment.

Line graph of the U.S. unemployment rate (percent of the labor force): 1939, 17.2; 1940, 14.6; 1941, 9.9; 1942, 4.7; 1943, 1.9; 1944, 1.2; 1945, 1.9. The rate falls every year from 1939 to 1944, reaching its lowest point in 1944, then rises slightly in 1945. U.S. unemployment rate, 1939–1945 0 5 10 15 20 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 Year Percent of labor force 17.2 14.6 9.9 4.7 1.9 1.2 1.9

Which statement best explains the change in unemployment shown on the graph?

Answer choices
Hint

Look in paragraphs 1 and 2 for what happened to factories and to workers during these years.

Summary

  • Economic forces helped cause major wars. Examples are competition for resources and markets, depression and hyperinflation.
  • Wars are paid for by taxes, borrowing (bonds) and sometimes printing money. Heavy money printing causes severe inflation (Confederacy, Germany 1923).
  • In WWII, taxes paid a little under half the cost. War bonds and borrowing raised the debt from about $51 billion to $271 billion.
  • The home front used factory conversion, OPA price ceilings, rationing and victory gardens. Unemployment fell to about 1%.
  • Labor shortages opened jobs to women and Black Americans, with lasting effects.
  • After WWI, reparations and hyperinflation fed instability. After WWII, the Marshall Plan and GI Bill supported recovery and a long boom.
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